Fair Toss

Probability lab

Two sides, equally likely.

Heads chance

50% · fair

Last outcome

Nothing yet

Trial 0 of 100

Trials

0

Heads

—

Streak

—

Gap

—

model 50%

When a streak shows up, the next Heads is still 50%.

Speed

Steady

100 left · a few seconds

Preparing the chart…

Gambler's fallacy

A run of the same result does not make the opposite result due. Coins and dice do not keep a debt. The bars can sit away from the dashed line for a while. That is a small sample, not something the next toss has to repay. Betting that a hot streak must continue is the same mistake the other way.

When a streak shows up, the next Heads is still 50%.

What this means

A fair coin is half heads, half tails. One flip proves nothing. Run a few hundred and the bars should meet the dashed line.

OutcomeCountYoursModelGap

Tap a row to follow that outcome. The generator is pseudo-random — close enough to coins and dice for class.